Nico Collins headshot

WR · HOU · #12

Nico Collins

Height
HT 6'4"
Weight
WT 222 lbs
Birth date
Mar 19, 1999 (age 27.6)
College
Michigan

He ranks WR21 through 3 games, down from WR9. Early, not a finished step down.

Picked by the Texans in 2021 via a trade with the Panthers.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

7,258

Range 6,529–7,840

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 total FP

53.1 pts

17.7 PPG

19 rec · 249 rec yds · 3 rec TD

Week 6 projection

18.1 pts

@ JAX · floor–ceiling 12.0–25.1

Dynasty Value Score over time

6,8007,0007,2507,400Preseason 2026: 7,154Preseason 20262026 W1: 7,2492026 W12026 W2: 7,2492026 W22026 W3: 6,8622026 W32026 W4: 7,2302026 W42026 W5: 7,2792026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Collins caught 19 passes for 249 yards in 2026, ranking WR21 through 3 games. Through 3 games the rank is WR21, off a WR9 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Nico Collins.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

53.1

PPG

17.7

Rank so far

WR21

Key stats

  • Rec: 19 (WR28)
  • Rec yds: 249 (WR31)
  • Rec TD: 3 (WR9)

2026 week shape

1/3 Boom 33%

0/3 Bust 0%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026WR21so far53.117.71924937———
2025WR9190.712.77111176151——
2024WR22176.614.76810067————
2023WR9220.414.780129787———
2022WR7878.67.9374812————
2021WR8767.14.8334461————

Career arc

01002003002021: 67.1 Half-PPR6720212022: 78.6 Half-PPR7920222023: 220.4 Half-PPR22020232024: 176.6 Half-PPR17720242025: 190.7 Half-PPR19120252026: 53.1 Half-PPR5320262026 projection: 244.1 Half-PPR2442026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W58.1TEN61 plays · 56% pass56 · 5 rec00
2026 W427.3BoomDAL50 plays · 62% pass118 / 2 TD · 7 rec00
2026 W117.7BUF70 plays · 54% pass75 / 1 TD · 7 rec70

Weekly Half-PPR

Boom 20+Bust under 5
5101520253012345Week

Hover a week for the total.

Week 5 Engine grade

Projected 18.1 · scored 8.1 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +10.0.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • TEN
    -2% · 229 pass yards
  • DAL
    -1% · 232 pass yards
  • BUF
    +26% · 296 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 77.2% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510012345Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

83.2%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
4
Avg depth of target
12.7
Drop %
0.8%

Durability

  • 2024
    12 G
  • 2025
    15 G · 1 Out
  • 2026
    3 G · 1 Out
  • 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.

R3 (89 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table

Separation
1.82yd

78th of 81

Cushion
4.90yd

74th of 81

YAC above expected
-0.12yd

48th of 81

Air yards share
17.3%

66th of 81

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Nico Collins's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Collins scores 7,258 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Nico Collins's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 14.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Nico Collins in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.