Justin Jefferson headshot

WR · MIN · #18

Justin Jefferson

Height
HT 6'1"
Weight
WT 192 lbs
Birth date
Jun 16, 1999 (age 27.3)
College
LSU

He ranks WR20 through 4 games, after WR25. The season isn't over.

Picked by the Vikings in 2020 via a trade with the Bills.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

6,394

Range 5,695–6,816

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 total FP

54.2 pts

13.6 PPG

19 rec · 258 rec yds · 3 rec TD

Week 6 projection

Bye

No game this week

Dynasty Value Score over time

5,9006,0006,2506,5006,7506,800Preseason 2026: 6,711Preseason 20262026 W1: 6,3732026 W12026 W2: 6,5502026 W22026 W3: 6,4972026 W32026 W4: 5,9882026 W42026 W5: 6,3942026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×1.02

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Hold

Jefferson caught 19 passes for 258 yards in 2026, ranking WR20 through 4 games. WR20 through 4 games is the running rank, next to a WR25 season. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Justin Jefferson.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

54.2

PPG

13.6

Rank so far

WR20

Key stats

  • Rec: 19 (WR28)
  • Rec yds: 258 (WR28)
  • Rec TD: 3 (WR9)

2026 week shape

1/4 Boom 25%

1/4 Bust 25%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026WR20so far54.213.6192583-11———
2025WR25159.59.484104827———
2024WR2266.015.61031533103—22—
2023WR28168.216.86810745-12———
2022WR1304.717.91281809824134—
2021WR4276.416.310816161014—35—
2020WR6230.214.488140072———

Career arc

01002003004002020: 230.2 Half-PPR23020202021: 276.4 Half-PPR27620212022: 304.7 Half-PPR30520222023: 168.2 Half-PPR16820232024: 266.0 Half-PPR26620242025: 159.5 Half-PPR16020252026: 54.2 Half-PPR5420262026 projection: 206.4 Half-PPR2062026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W515.8NO66 plays · 46% pass79 / 1 TD · 6 rec-110
2026 W34.2BustTB52 plays · 56% pass32 · 2 rec00
2026 W27.0CHI48 plays · 42% pass55 · 3 rec00
2026 W127.2BoomGB58 plays · 41% pass92 / 2 TD · 8 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

Boom 20+Bust under 5
5101520253012345Week

Hover a week for the total.

Week 5 Engine grade

Projected 9.0 · scored 15.8 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -6.8.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • NO
    -3% · 228 pass yards
  • TB
    +0% · 235 pass yards
  • CHI
    -2% · 229 pass yards
  • GB
    -15% · 199 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 94.2% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510012345Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

95.7%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
5
Avg depth of target
10.2
Drop %
2.1%

Durability

  • 2024
    17 G
  • 2025
    17 G
  • 2026
    4 G
  • 15.5 projected games — recent completed seasons at a full slate.

R1 (22 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table

Separation
2.88yd

35th of 81

Cushion
4.53yd

78th of 81

YAC above expected
1.39yd

14th of 81

Air yards share
26.2%

37th of 81

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Justin Jefferson's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Jefferson scores 6,394 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Justin Jefferson's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 12.1 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Justin Jefferson in dynasty right now?
This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.