QB · LA · #9
Matthew Stafford
- Height
- HT 6'3"
- Weight
- WT 214 lbs
- Birth date
- Feb 7, 1988 (age 38.7)
- College
- Georgia
He's 39 now, old enough that decline risk is real.
Traded from DET to LA (Mar 18, 2021).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,900
Range 4,468–5,309
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Elite QB production now; the age curve is already in the score.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
89.0 pts
17.8 PPG
1572 pass yds · 9 pass TD · 21 rush yds
Week 6 projection
21.1 pts
floor–ceiling 10.6–29.1
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
Fade riskStafford threw for 1,572 yards and 9 TDs in 2026, ranking QB10 through 5 games. Stafford already has a Rams Super Bowl ring and keeps starting into his mid-30s — the aging curve is real, but the résumé is not a pure fade signal. He's 39 — older QBs usually lose work and upside. Age makes this a fade risk in dynasty — win-now value only, don't pay a long-term price.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Matthew Stafford.
- RankingsNextDyne
Redzone & Stalled: Week 5
Jaylen Warren scored 33.8 on a 12.4 projection, Tyler Shough scored negative points, and Parker Washington took 27.4 from Brian Thomas Jr.'s zero. Week 5's biggest beats and misses.
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Is Dak Prescott a Dynasty Buy-Low at 33?
Dak Prescott's passing yards climbed from 175 to 316 while his scoring fell, and he ranks QB19 on our dynasty board next to C.J. Stroud. Here is why the dip looks like a buying chance for contenders.
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Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings
Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua lead the Week 5 board, Carolina and Kansas City are on bye, and Lamar Jackson is out for Sunday night.
- RankingsNextDyne
Week 5 Matchups: Who's Set Up to Win
Buffalo and Detroit have been giving up points, San Francisco has not, and the Eagles' London game kicks off at 9:30 AM ET. Week 5 matchups to act on.
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Redzone & Stalled: Week 4
Touchdowns powered Week 4's biggest beats, and a few offenses threw too little for their stars to hit. The largest gaps between projection and score.
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Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings 2026: Top 30 at Every Position
Dynasty or redraft, these are the players to start in Week 1. Full top-30 half-PPR rankings by position, with matchups, injury tags, and floor/ceiling ranges.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Puka Nacua's Dynasty Value Priced for Another Injury?
Dynasty managers keep pricing Puka Nacua like 2024 is coming back. The model already checked — it isn’t.
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Starting QB Stats Look Down From 2015. The Box Score Is Lying to You.
Starting QB passing yards and TDs are down from the 2015-2020 peak. The data says it's fewer attempts, not worse quarterbacks — here's what that means for dynasty value.
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Top 20 Quarterbacks: Dynasty Value Score
Dynasty QB value doesn't match the season-projection board — Bo Nix and Drake Maye sit in the top four, and Matthew Stafford still sits 20th despite leading 2026 points. The Top 20 QBs by Dynasty Value Score.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
89.0
PPG
17.8
Rank so far
QB10
Key stats
- Pass yds: 1572 (QB1)
- Pass TD: 9 (QB8)
2026 week shape
3/5 Boom 60%
1/5 Bust 20%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB10so far | 89.0 | 17.8 | 1572 | 9 | 21 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB3 | 350.4 | 20.6 | 4707 | 46 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB19 | 214.6 | 13.4 | 3762 | 20 | 41 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB15 | 243.1 | 16.2 | 3965 | 24 | 65 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB32 | 108.4 | 12.0 | 2087 | 10 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB6 | 329.7 | 19.4 | 4886 | 41 | 43 | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB15 | 260.6 | 16.3 | 4084 | 26 | 112 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB29 | 166.6 | 20.8 | 2499 | 19 | 66 | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB20 | 212.2 | 13.3 | 3777 | 21 | 71 | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | QB7 | 273.6 | 17.1 | 4446 | 29 | 98 | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB7 | 279.8 | 17.5 | 4327 | 24 | 207 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2015 | QB9 | 290.3 | 18.1 | 4262 | 32 | 159 | 1 | 1 | -6 | — |
| 2014 | QB15 | 251.6 | 15.7 | 4257 | 22 | 93 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2013 | QB7 | 278.9 | 17.4 | 4650 | 29 | 69 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2012 | QB10 | 276.1 | 17.3 | 4967 | 20 | 126 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2011 | QB5 | 345.8 | 21.6 | 5100 | 41 | 78 | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | QB40 | 50.5 | 16.8 | 535 | 6 | 11 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2009 | QB26 | 125.5 | 12.6 | 2267 | 13 | 108 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 27.3Boom | BUF | 77 plays · 70% pass | 383 / 3 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 9.7 | PHI | 76 plays · 67% pass | 317 | 10 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 20.9Boom | DEN | 78 plays · 71% pass | 390 / 2 TD | 13 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 27.0Boom | NYG | 59 plays · 53% pass | 327 / 4 TD | -1 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 4.1Bust | SF | 57 plays · 49% pass | 155 | -1 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 25.9 · scored 27.3 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -1.4.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- BUF+26% · 296 pass yards
- PHI+6% · 248 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 220 pass yards
- NYG-11% · 210 pass yards
- SF-10% · 211 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 98.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
100.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 18.5%
- On-target throw %
- 73.6%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.4s
Durability
- 202416 G
- 202517 G
- 20265 G
- 15.4 projected games — recent completed seasons at a full slate.
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Time to throw
- 2.79s
- Aggressiveness
- 18.5%
- CPOE
- 1.2pp
- Air yds to sticks
- 0.6yd
14th of 38
8th of 38
21st of 38
4th of 38
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Matthew Stafford's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Stafford scores 4,900 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Matthew Stafford's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 21.0 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Matthew Stafford in dynasty right now?
- Age makes this a fade risk in dynasty — win-now value only, don't pay a long-term price. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.