QB · WAS · #8
Only 10 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
34.5 pts
11.5 PPG
340 pass yds · 4 pass TD · 49 rush yds
Week 6 projection
0.0 pts
@ SF · floor–ceiling 0.0–0.0
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.98
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Mariota threw for 340 yards and 4 TDs in 2026, ranking QB33 through 3 games. 2025 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. The 2026 projection is thin — only roster him if you need the upside. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Marcus Mariota.
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: After Week 4
Carolina and Kansas City are on bye, Washington's quarterback job is open again, and both Cincinnati stars are banged up. Five names for this week's claims.
Week 3 Injury Report: Three Young Quarterbacks Down
Week 3 injury report: Jaxson Dart is done for the regular season, Jayden Daniels is doubtful with the same elbow, and Caleb Williams is still week to week.
Half-PPR points
34.5
PPG
11.5
Rank so far
QB33
Key stats
2026 week shape
1/3 Boom 33%
0/3 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB33so far | 34.5 | 11.5 | 340 | 4 | 49 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB31 | 125.5 | 12.6 | 1695 | 10 | 297 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB45 | 45.8 | 15.3 | 364 | 4 | 92 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB62 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 164 | 1 | 52 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB20 | 196.6 | 15.1 | 2219 | 15 | 438 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB54 | 14.9 | 2.1 | 4 | — | 87 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB46 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 226 | 1 | 88 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB33 | 85.0 | 12.1 | 1203 | 7 | 129 | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB24 | 175.4 | 12.5 | 2528 | 11 | 357 | 2 | 1 | 21 | — |
| 2017 | QB18 | 210.5 | 14.0 | 3232 | 13 | 312 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB13 | 259.9 | 17.3 | 3426 | 26 | 349 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2015 | QB22 | 210.5 | 17.5 | 2818 | 19 | 252 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W4 | 5.3 | IND | 59 plays · 63% pass | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 20.4Boom | SEA | 63 plays · 49% pass | 183 / 3 TD | 11 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 8.7 | DAL | 67 plays · 52% pass | 111 / 1 TD | 3 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 4 Engine grade
Projected 28.7 · scored 5.3 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +23.4.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 74.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
75.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (2 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
27th of 38
20th of 38
19th of 38
6th of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.