WR · CIN · #1
He ranks WR10 through 5 games, after WR4. The season isn't over.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
9,704
Range 8,792–9,680
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
66.4 pts
13.3 PPG
27 rec · 289 rec yds · 4 rec TD
Week 6 projection
Bye
No game this week
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Chase caught 27 passes for 289 yards in 2026, ranking WR10 through 5 games. At 27, he's in the typical WR peak window. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Ja'Marr Chase.
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: After Week 5
Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami and Minnesota are on bye in Week 6. Four adds with usage behind them, including a tight end who saw 13 targets and a Steelers receiver stepping into two absences.
The NFL Injury Wire: Week 5
Chase, Higgins, Jefferson, Jeanty and Daniels are active, Barkley, Smith, Addison and Lamar Jackson are out, and the Chargers' line is gutted. Every Week 5 Sunday update.
Week 5 Injury Report: Sunday Status
Lamar Jackson is out for Sunday night, Ashton Jeanty vanished from Friday's practice, Kyle Monangai and Breece Hall are out, and both Cincinnati receivers are questionable.
Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings
Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua lead the Week 5 board, Carolina and Kansas City are on bye, and Lamar Jackson is out for Sunday night.
Redzone & Stalled: Week 4
Touchdowns powered Week 4's biggest beats, and a few offenses threw too little for their stars to hit. The largest gaps between projection and score.
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: After Week 4
Carolina and Kansas City are on bye, Washington's quarterback job is open again, and both Cincinnati stars are banged up. Five names for this week's claims.
Week 4 Key Injuries
Lamar Jackson left in a walking boot, Ja'Marr Chase is in the concussion protocol, and Saquon Barkley hurt his hamstring. Monday-morning status on each.
The NFL Injury Wire: Week 4
Every Week 4 Sunday injury that matters for dynasty: who left, who replaced them, and what it does to your lineup.
Is Puka Nacua's Dynasty Value Priced for Another Injury?
Dynasty managers keep pricing Puka Nacua like 2024 is coming back. The model already checked — it isn’t.
Chase Brown Wants to Stay in Cincinnati — Will the Bengals Pay Him?
Chase Brown finished RB9 on a cheap rookie contract and is now seeking an extension as the running back market resets. Here's his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Is Joe Burrow's Dynasty Price Finally Right After the Turf Toe Discount?
Joe Burrow's dynasty price is lower than it's been in years after a turf toe surgery wiped out half his season. Here's why that's the buying window.
Is Amon-Ra St. Brown the Safest WR1 in Dynasty?
Amon-Ra St. Brown has finished WR3 in half-PPR in each of the last three seasons. Here's why he might be dynasty's safest asset at the position.
Is CeeDee Lamb Still a True WR1 After a Down Year?
Lamb played through a high ankle sprain for most of 2025 and still finished 2nd in deep receiving yards. NextDyne's model still has him as the WR1 for 2026.
Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
Half-PPR points
66.4
PPG
13.3
Rank so far
WR10
Key stats
2026 week shape
2/5 Boom 40%
2/5 Bust 40%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR10so far | 66.4 | 13.3 | 27 | 289 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR4 | 251.1 | 15.7 | 125 | 1412 | 8 | 14 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR1 | 339.5 | 20.0 | 127 | 1708 | 17 | 32 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR13 | 212.7 | 13.3 | 100 | 1216 | 7 | -6 | — | -7 | — |
| 2022 | WR12 | 198.9 | 16.6 | 87 | 1046 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR5 | 264.1 | 15.5 | 81 | 1455 | 13 | 21 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 16.7 | MIA | 63 plays · 51% pass | 77 / 1 TD · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 4.2Bust | JAX | 69 plays · 78% pass | 27 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 20.3Boom | PIT | 55 plays · 67% pass | 98 / 1 TD · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 23.0Boom | HOU | 54 plays · 57% pass | 75 / 2 TD · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 2.2Bust | TB | 62 plays · 57% pass | 12 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 14.1 · scored 16.7 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -2.6.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 94.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
96.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (5 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
44th of 81
14th of 81
22nd of 81
55th of 81
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.