QB · KC · #15
Patrick Mahomes
- Height
- HT 6'2"
- Weight
- WT 225 lbs
- Birth date
- Sep 17, 1995 (age 31.1)
- College
- Texas Tech
Current rank is QB15 through 4 games — QB11 was the last finished season.
Picked by the Chiefs in 2017 via a trade with the Bills.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,859
Range 7,119–8,564
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
83.6 pts
20.9 PPG
1037 pass yds · 9 pass TD · 41 rush yds
Week 6 projection
18.5 pts
vs LAC · floor–ceiling 9.7–26.1
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
HoldMahomes threw for 1,037 yards and 9 TDs in 2026, ranking QB15 through 4 games. He's 31 with a quiet recent trend — no red flag, no spike either. The 2026 projection keeps him in every-week starter range. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Patrick Mahomes.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Tyreek Hill Worth a Dynasty Stash at 32?
Tyreek Hill is unsigned, 32 and coming off a torn ACL, and Kansas City just lost two receivers. Here is what his dynasty value looks like before he signs.
- NewsNextDyne
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: After Week 4
Carolina and Kansas City are on bye, Washington's quarterback job is open again, and both Cincinnati stars are banged up. Five names for this week's claims.
- RankingsNextDyne
Monday Morning QB: Week 2's Best Arms
Josh Allen delivered the shootout we called, Bryce Young passed his second-data-point test, and Cooper Rush came back to earth.
- StrategyNextDyne
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
- StrategyNextDyne
Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Patrick Mahomes a Safe Dynasty Pick After ACL Tear?
Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is It Time to Cut Ties With Travis Kelce in Dynasty?
Kelce's contract is structured for retirement in 2027. He's still TE3-caliber, but the dynasty window is closing fast. Here's the sell case.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
83.6
PPG
20.9
Rank so far
QB15
Key stats
- Pass yds: 1037 (QB17)
- Pass TD: 9 (QB8)
2026 week shape
2/4 Boom 50%
0/4 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB15so far | 83.6 | 20.9 | 1037 | 9 | 41 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB11 | 285.2 | 20.4 | 3587 | 22 | 422 | 5 | 1 | -10 | — |
| 2024 | QB12 | 282.5 | 17.7 | 3928 | 26 | 307 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2023 | QB8 | 280.2 | 17.5 | 4183 | 27 | 389 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB1 | 416.9 | 24.5 | 5250 | 41 | 358 | 4 | 1 | 6 | — |
| 2021 | QB4 | 361.7 | 21.3 | 4839 | 37 | 381 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB4 | 374.4 | 25.0 | 4740 | 38 | 308 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB7 | 287.0 | 20.5 | 4031 | 26 | 218 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB1 | 417.1 | 26.1 | 5097 | 50 | 272 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2017 | QB51 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 284 | — | 10 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W4 | 17.0 | LV | 56 plays · 54% pass | 225 / 2 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 15.9 | MIA | 49 plays · 49% pass | 246 / 2 TD | 1 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 29.0Boom | IND | 76 plays · 62% pass | 382 / 3 TD | 17 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 21.7Boom | DEN | 65 plays · 42% pass | 184 / 2 TD | 23 / 1 TD | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 4 Engine grade
Projected 20.9 · scored 17.0 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +3.9.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- LV+8% · 253 pass yards
- MIA-4% · 226 pass yards
- IND+14% · 268 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 220 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 97.4% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
99.1%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 24.0%
- On-target throw %
- 74.3%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.2s
Durability
- 202416 G
- 202514 G
- 20264 G
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.
R1 (10 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Time to throw
- 2.70s
- Aggressiveness
- 8.6%
- CPOE
- -1.5pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -1.4yd
8th of 38
35th of 38
26th of 38
25th of 38
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Patrick Mahomes's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Mahomes scores 7,859 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Patrick Mahomes's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 19.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Patrick Mahomes in dynasty right now?
- This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.