WR · GB · #11
2025 stopped at 5 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,850
Range 2,558–2,965
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
4.4 pts
2.2 PPG
4 rec · 24 rec yds
Week 6 projection
0.0 pts
vs DAL · floor–ceiling 0.0–0.0
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Reed caught 4 passes for 24 yards in 2026, ranking WR134 through 2 games. He ranks WR134 through 2 games, down from WR114. Early, not a finished step down. Only 5 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jayden Reed.
Week 3 Injury Report: Three Young Quarterbacks Down
Week 3 injury report: Jaxson Dart is done for the regular season, Jayden Daniels is doubtful with the same elbow, and Caleb Williams is still week to week.
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: Week 2
Two weeks of real target share, not one good box score — four names earning volume that most rosters haven't noticed yet.
Week 2 Key Injuries: What Actually Happened Sunday
Two starting quarterbacks left Sunday's games on carts, and Green Bay lost three linemen and its top receiver in one afternoon.
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: Week 1
Five names who earned real volume in Week 1 while sitting almost unrostered — add them before tonight's claims process.
5 Breakout Dynasty WRs to Target in 2026
Five 2026 dynasty WR names with a real role change: a $114 million Colts bet, a hamstring hangover that hid a top-10 start, and a Browns rookie still listed WR3.
Half-PPR points
4.4
PPG
2.2
Rank so far
WR134
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/2 Boom 0%
2/2 Bust 100%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR134so far | 4.4 | 2.2 | 4 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR114 | 39.0 | 7.8 | 19 | 207 | 1 | 28 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR26 | 169.5 | 10.0 | 55 | 857 | 6 | 163 | 1 | — | — |
| 2023 | WR23 | 185.2 | 11.6 | 64 | 793 | 8 | 119 | 2 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W2 | 0.9Bust | NYJ | 47 plays · 62% pass | 4 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 3.5Bust | MIN | 63 plays · 67% pass | 20 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 2 Engine grade
Projected 6.3 · scored 0.9 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +5.4.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 41.1% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
58.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (50 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
5th of 97
10th of 97
26th of 97
73rd of 97
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.